Tag: safe odd

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23.01.2021

Monaco – Marseille: 1X(DC) Odd: 1.40 FT: 3:1

AC Milan – Atalanta: 1X(DC) Odd: 1.60 FT: 0:3

Augsburg – Union Berlin: X2(DC) Odd: 1.40 FT: 2:1

Player Ratings: AC Milan 0-0 Torino (5-4p) - Kalulu a beast; Tonali finally shines


Bankroll Management in Sports Betting

While sports betting is only a hobby for most, many aspire to take their betting to the next level. The dream of being a professional sports bettor is one that looms in the back of most sports bettors’ heads. While it is a challenging and lofty goal, there are many men and women across the globe who earn their keep by betting sports professionally.

If this is something that you’re aspiring to achieve one day, you need to pay close attention to every single line of this article. The single most important part of a winning sports betting strategy is bankroll management. Bankroll management refers to how you choose to allocate and handle your funds while making bets. Proper bankroll management can help increase the longevity of your bets and help to propel you to the upper echelon of professional betting. Improper bankroll management is a quick ticket to Brokes-ville.

In this guide, we’re going to walk you through everything you need to know to be a master at bankroll management. We’ll walk you through every tip, rule, and guideline that you must know to gain full control over your bankroll and your sports betting destiny. With a little knowledge and some discipline, you can really put yourself in a position to succeed. We’re not trying to sound like your school guidance counselor up on a soapbox preaching; this is just that important of information.

For a rundown on proper bankroll management we have put together this detailed video guide for you. We also have a even more in depth write up in the article below.

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16.01.2020

Dortmund – Mainz: 1 Odd: 1.30 FT: 1:1

AZ Alkmaar – Den Haag: 1 Odd: 1.30 FT: 2:1

Slavia Prague – Sigma Olomouc: 1 Odd: 1.30 FT: 3:1

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Betting Goal Lines (aka Spreads)

Similar to betting the Two-Way Moneyline, the Goal Line is a type of wager that eliminates at least one outcome. Goal Lines are similar to Puck Lines in hockey and point spreads in football or basketball.

A Goal Line is typically -0.5 goals in soccer, but for games with big favorites, the Goal Line may be higher like -1.5 or -2.5.

Goal Line odds for a World Cup match between Argentina and Iran look like this:

  • Argentina -2.5 goals (+110)
  • Iran +2.5 goals (-120)

When dealing with goal lines or spreads, there’s always juice associated, just like an NFL spread or NBA spread.

If you bet on Argentina -2.5 goals, then to win the bet they must win by three goals or more. It you bet on Iran +2.5 goals, that means to win the bet Iran can win, draw or lose by one or two goals.

You can also bet the Asian handicap, a type of point spread that splits your wager on two different bets — like -1.5 and -2. If your team wins by two in that case, you break even. If they win by three, you win both.

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14.01.2021

Fenerbahce – Kasimpasa Tip: 1 Odd: 1.50 FT: 1:0

Twente – Ajax Tip: 2 Odd: 1.40 FT: 1:3

Fenerbahçe should appoint Turkish manager | Daily Sabah


Understanding How Soccer Betting Handicap Odds Work

You can play the odds as set by the bookmaker or place handicap bets which work as follows:

  • Level Handicap ‒ This is identical to the Draw No Bet market. An Asian Handicap 0.0 (sometimes displayed as solely ‘0’) is offered when both teams are evenly matched. If your selection wins then your bet is successful. If the games ends in a draw then your stake is refunded. I your selection loses then you lose your stake.
  • Single Goal Handicap ‒ if you bet on the team with the handicap they must win with more than one goal because they started at -1 goals. Winning by 1 goal would mean, in betting handicap terms, the game was a draw meaning your bet will be resulted as a losing bet, for this example.
  • ½ Ball Handicap ‒ A 0.5 Asian Handicap is identical to the ‘To Win’ market. If you bet with a -0.5 handicap then your selection must win for your bet to be successful. If the match ends in a draw then you lose your stake. Your selection loses then you lose your stake. If you bet with a +0.5 handicap then your selection must win or draw for your bet to be successful. If your selection loses then you lose your stake.
  • Asian Handicaps ‒
    • Quarter-goal or Two-way Handicaps:

Most matches are handicapped by ½ or ¼ intervals which can eliminate the possibility of a push because it is impossible to score half a goal.

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FREE PREDICTIONS FOR TODAY


Date: 06/12/2020
League: NETHERLANDS – Eredivisie
Match: Feyenoord – Heracles
Pick: 1 (Home win)
Odd: 1.50
Result: 1:1

Date: 06/12/2020
League: GREECE Super League
Match:PAOK – Asteras Tripolis
Pick: 1 (Home win)
Odd: 1.30
Result: 2:0

Using Betting Odds to Calculate Winnings

Betting odds allow you to calculate how much money you will win if you make a bet. Let’s use the same examples as before, with the same replacement of numbers for letters, i.e. 4/1 becomes A/B. Quite simply, for every value of B that you bet, you will win A, plus the return of your stake.

  • 9/1 for every £1 you bet, you will win £9.
  • 4/1 for every £1 you bet, you will win £4.
  • 1/1 for every £1 you bet, you will win £1.
  • 1/4 for every £4 you bet, you will win £1.

What About Decimals?

Decimals are far more common on exchanges, such as Betfair, but all leading betting sites do give you the option to view betting odds in this format. They are an alternative to seeing betting odds in the fraction format, and in our opinion, are easier to work out. Here is the calculation: winnings = (odds * stake) – stake. Let’s illustrate it with some examples

  • 9.0 can be calculated as (9.0 * £10 stake) – £10 stake  = £80 winnings.
  • 4.0 can be calculated as (4.0 * £10 stake) – £10 stake =  £30 winnings.
  • 2.5 can be calculated as (2.5 * £10 stake) – £10 stake = £15 winnings.
  • 1.25 can be calculated as (1.25 * £10 stake) – £10 stake =£2.50 winnings.

 

You can use our bet calculator to help you calculate winnings.

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Date: 04/12/2020
League: BULGARIA Parva liga
Match:Cherno More – Etar
Pick: 1 (Home win)
Odd 1.33
Result: 0:1


Date: 04/12/2020
League: NETHERLANDS Eredivisie
Match:Sparta Rotterdam – FC Emmen
Pick: 1 (Home win)
Odd: 1.65
Result: 2:1

Balance your risk

We already covered this earlier. We mentioned how over/under wagers are great for balancing the risk versus reward ratio. You should really take advantage of this in our opinion, and try to strike a good balance that suits your own personal attitude towards risk. There’s no right or wrong here, as how much risk you choose to take is entirely down to you. However, we would like to make one point.

A greater chance of winning paired with smaller odds is usually better than a reduced chance of winning paired with higher odds.

This is a principle we almost always stick to in all of our betting. We do take big risks on occasion, as sometimes there are good reasons to do so. As a general rule, though, there’s a lot to be said for the cautious approach. Not so cautious that you never take any kind of risk at all, but just cautious enough to avoid risks that are unnecessary. We firmly believe that this is the best route to long term success.

Consider small multiples

This tip goes against the advice we’ve just given, but we’re not deliberately trying to contradict ourselves. The fact is that there are very few definitive rules when it comes to sports betting, and this is one example of where it’s right to go against conventional wisdom.

We really like betting small multiples with total goals wagers. This is a risky strategy, but it’s one that worked well for us, and we only use small stakes for these wagers anyway. We recommend you do the same if you decide to implement this strategy yourself.

The strategy simply involves putting two or more total goals selections into an accumulator, or parlay. This can result in some nice payouts if they all prove to be correct. The downside, of course, is that just one wrong selection means the whole accumulator loses. So, it’s a good idea to only include selections that you’re very confident about. You should also keep the number of selections quite low. We think three is about optimal, and we sometimes only include two. If we’re really confident we might include four, but we never go with any more than that.

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Date: 01/12/2020
League: England Premier League
Match: Tuzla City – Velež Mostar
Pick: 2 (away win)
Odd 3.20
Result: 1:3

Handicap/Asian Handicap

Everything we’ve covered so far is relatively straightforward. Handicap betting is where things start to get a little more complicated. You should be able to understand this easily enough if you’re used to betting on the major US sports though, as it’s essentially the same as betting point spreads.

The driving force with handicap wagers is that the teams are awarded extra goals or deducted goals for the purposes of the betting. Most bookmakers allow you to choose how many goals are awarded or deducted, and offer different odds depending on your choice.

This is another wager that makes more sense with an example, so here’s how the handicap market might look for the Tottenham versus Norwich game.

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There are three distinct options to choose from here. Tottenham are the clear favorite, so the options on that team all involve deducting goals. Norwich are the underdog, so the options on that team all involve awarding extra goals. This is standard practice, but some bookmakers do offer handicap markets where the favorites are awarded goals and the underdogs are deducted goals.

Let’s say you decided to go with Tottenham (-1) on this game. Tottenham would have to win by at least two goals for your wager to win, as they’re going to be deducted a goal. So if they actually won 2-1, the result would technically be 1-1 for the purposes of the betting. This is a draw, so you lose the wager. If Tottenham won 3-1, though, then the result is 2-1 after the handicap is applied. So you’d win the wager.

A bet on Tottenham (-2), would need Tottenham to win by three or more goals. A bet on Tottenham (-3), would need Tottenham to win by four or more goals. Please note that the more goals that are deducted, the less likely it is that a wager is going to win. This is why the odds get greater accordingly.

When wagering on the underdog for the handicap, the opposite rules apply. A bet on Norwich (+1) then only needs Norwich to draw the game. If the actual result was 1-1, then the result with the handicap applied would be 1-2. This is a victory for Norwich, so the wager would be successful. With a bet on Norwich (+2), Norwich could lose by a single goal and you’d still be successful. With a bet on Norwich (+3), Norwich could lose by two goals and you’d still be successful. Obviously if they bettered those results (i.e. won the game without the handicap goals), then you’d be successful too.

Handicap betting is a good way to manage risk versus reward when betting on soccer games. You can choose selections that are more likely to be correct but come with lower odds, or you can choose that selections that are less likely to be correct but come with higher odds.

There’s another form of handicap betting for soccer too, called the Asian Handicap. This is somewhat more complex. We won’t go into depth here, as we cover this form of betting in detail on the following page. We also cover some specific strategies for the Asian Handicap too. Bet and win.